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Tag Archives: GEAB

Special edition : Euroland at a crossroads

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LEAP and Anticipolis have just released a Special Review entitled “Euroland at a crossroads” consisting of a compilation of complementary views on the theme of the reform of the eurozone, the purpose of which is to report on the vigor of the debate on this reform in order to encourage ...

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United Kingdom 2019: What if Brexit proved to be a success story?

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PUBLIC Announcement of our monthly bulletin GEAB (March 2018). Register here ! So far, the media and political analysts have been unanimous: Brexit represents an uncertain and dangerous future only for the UK. Our readers know that we have always been more circumspect about this. Now that the first phase of negotiations has been ...

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A silent tear for Franck Biancheri

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Franck Biancheri was LEAP’s co-founder in 2005, Director of Research and Strategy until 2012 when he passed away, inventor of the method of political anticipation, and coordinator of the GEAB from 2006 to 2012. We dedicate this moment to him, on his birth anniversary. Dear Franck, We missed you for what ...

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[Video] European Trade Agreements – 2019: Death of the Swan

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Interview: Marie-Hélène Caillol, President of LEAP2020 Brexit seemed to have opened up the long-awaited project of redefining the functioning and objectives of the European machine. But today Brussels prefers to boast about the UK’s difficulties, and, thinking of itself as unavoidable, it is undertaking to unearth all its bottom drawer projects. ...

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US Debt / Inflation: The FED as a support tool for Mr Trump’s objectives

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PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (February, 2018). Subscribe here ! At the beginning of February, the US stock markets, followed by the financial markets of the rest of the world, experienced a violent correction. In two days, the Dow Jones Index erased its January gains and entered a downward spiral. Since then, ...

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Anticipation flashback : Warning, profit taking in sight!

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Anticipation flashback ! We were right! The market places are facing several disruptions since the beginning of the week. We announced an anticipation of a possibility of profit-taking  due to the rise of the benchmark stock market index. Today, the Dow Jones is collapsing. The CAC40 dropped bellow the value ...

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Petroyuan and Saudi Arabia: From the temptation of the US “Military QE” to the creation of a Middle East 3.0

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PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (November, 2017). Subscribe here ! End 2017/early 2018, all major Western Central Banks will be putting a final stop to the 2008 crisis-related unconventional monetary policies, namely the famous quantitative easing policies (QEs) which enabled to provide liquidity to those banks which saw their mutual confidence for borrowing collapse ...

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Global Systemic Crisis / End of 2017: High turbulence zone! Finance – Freedom – Security – Kaliningrad: Avoid the Third World War now!

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PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (October, 2017). Subscribe here ! More than three years after the Ukraine-related Euro-Russian catastrophe, there is no hope of an end to this crisis. On the contrary, the tension inexorably keeps climbing: Donbass still at war, annexation of Crimea by Russia not recognised by the international community,… ...

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A reaction to our GEAB article on Petroyuan, by Irina Yarigina: Professor at the Financial University of Moscow

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It goes without saying,  that there are several prerequisites for national currencies usage: reliable economic and financial developments, economic demand of the currency, ability of the national currency to perform as the money abroad (payments, savings, exchange base, etc.), low level of transaction costs (favorable conditions for relations), legislation, that ...

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LEAP and our monthly bulletin GEAB in La Vanguardia!

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“The far-right parties won’t reject or give up on Europe, because the EU concentrates the power, they will try to conquer this power [...] A social Europe project could unite the transeuropean Left, but such a project is directly opposed to the current ultraliberal ideology of the institutionnal european system ...

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Global Systemic Crisis 2017-2021 – A phase of chaotic recomposition of the World: national re-landing, crash or rebound?

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PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (April, 2017). Subscribe here ! This expression “chaotic recomposition” seems best to summarise the phase where we currently are with regards to the development of the crisis, a step indicated here as extending over four years and which will include distinct progression phases. It is quite clear ...

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Trump’s America: the lifting of the US default taboo

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PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB March, 2017. Subscribe here ! Without Kissinger to negotiate the petrodollar and put the US currency back to the centre of the global game after the shock of Nixon’s announcement in 1971 to halt the convertibility of the dollar to gold, the greenback would never have been ...

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The military or Erdogan, again (Excerpt GEAB October 2015)

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This article was published by our team in October 2015, in a very specific context: the Russian crisis was not solved yet, Syrian trap, Erdogan having political difficulties etc. We can verify today the precision of this anticipation, and more precisely of the possibility of a “coup d’etat”. The other ...

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Open letter to the G20

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The following is an open letter from Franck Biancheri, Director of studies of LEAP to the G20. Ladies and Gentlemen, Your next summit takes place in a few days in London; but are you aware that you have less than a semester to prevent the world from plunging into a ...

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Demon-etisation: India opens with a fanfare the ball of the fiscal QEs

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PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB December, 2016. Subscribe here ! Since November 8, 2016, India has created a monetary revolution of a magnitude never seen, both by the size of the population concerned and the depth of the transformation induced. By demonetising the biggest notes of 500 and 1000 Rs (rupees), the ...

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American Election – Brexit – Euroland – TTIP – Turkey – Russian Sanctions: What future is there for the European Commission within the big redefinition of the Transatlantic Relationship?

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PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB September, 2016. Subscribe here ! Since its creation, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin has been designed among other things to inform European public opinion and decision makers about the fact that the global geopolitical reconfiguration vitally requires a profound change of the EU. The ...

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Angry nations, democratic challenges, global systemic crisis – Balkanization and returning empires in Central and Eastern Europe: the drama of the failure of European integration and of the Euro-Russian crisis

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In 2014, our team anticipated the disintegration of the Eastern European flank following the conflict between the EU and Russia. Two years later, the damage has become visible.  If Europe and Russia fail to renew any dialogue, the worst is yet to come in this part of Europe, a region ...

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LEAP, Member of WFSF

Franck Biancheri Networks