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OUR CONFIDENTIAL LETTER: GLOBAL EUROPE ANTICIPATION BULLETIN

OUR CONFIDENTIAL LETTER: GLOBAL EUROPE ANTICIPATION BULLETIN

Political Anticipation is submitted to a test every month in the GEAB!

GEAB is at the origin of the concept of ‘global systemic crisis’

Picto_Conceptcrise

As early as February 15th, the second issue of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (GEAB N°2 announced that an international political, economic and monetary crisis was to be triggered in the course of the last week of March 2006. The public announcementsumming up this position toured the world, raising virulent criticisms of course, but above all warm thanks and vivid gratefulness for having opened a debate considered a healthy one.

GEAB 2 revealed in particular a major fact, unknown from big media and the majority of financial analysts: the US Fed’s decision to stop the publication of a macro-economic indicator, one essential to assess the dollar’s and global economy’s health, the M3 indicator. Leap/E2020 analysed this information as a decision to monetarize the US debt and to hide the triggering of a dollar-collapse process.

As predicted by Leap/E2020, and despite doubts expressed by many professionals and a resounding silence from the part of all big media, on March 23, 2006, the US Federal Reserve stopped M3 publication, the dollar started its descent and the crisis began to expand to various emerging monetary and financial markets (Arab Stock Exchange Markets, Iceland, New-Zealand, Hungary, Brazil…), bringing the dollar down by 4% in just a month, in a context of speculative currency attacks.

LEAP/E2020 took a great risk by making this prediction in February 2006, at a time when all public economic indicators were euphoric, and by making the choice to stick to its convictions against all mainstream opinions at that time. The now admitted correctness of the prediction acknowledges a unique capacity of global anticipation and trans-disciplinary analysis on the part of the team of Leap/E2020 researchers.

To anticipate the crisis’ next steps in order to deal with the global systemic transition …

Since the beginning, GEAB has interpreted the current crisis as a global systemic crisis, i.e., one resulting from a change of system: the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 resulted in the end of the USA-USSR bi-polar world system, and initiated a transitory system of supremacy of the USA-pole over the world; In 2006, the dollar collapse is a fall of the “Washington Wall” and both the indicator and the central factor of the global systemix crisis.

This founding-prediction gives the tone to all GEAB publications, which provide financial, political, academic and strategic decision-makers and advisers with monthly analyses of:

* implications of the crisis, field by field
* deciphering of ongoing trends
* identification of short- and medium-term future-bearer information
* anticipation of future stages of the transition
* decision-support strategic advice, field by field

 

ARTICLES

ARTICLES

Une Journée en 2053, by Olivier Disle, Marie-Hélène Caillol, Francis Aubert, Eric Ballot, Yvan Measson, Olivier Siegler

Au sujet de la crise systémique, by Pierre Gonod (2006)

Anticipation politique: S’autoriser à penser l’ « autre moitié » de la ligne temporelle, by Marie-Hélène Caillol (2014).

VIDEOS

VIDEOS

Political Anticipation at TEDx IE Madrid, by Marie-Hélène Caillol

Prospective and Its applications

What are Future Studies

LEAP, Member of WFSF

Franck Biancheri Networks