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GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS

September GEAB – Transatlantic relatioons / European railways / Institutionalisation of cryptocurrencies: Upgrading Western economies with a view to their return to the global game

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The multi-polarisation of the planet is currently going through a bipolarisation phase, something we anticipated in 2009, if Europe could not reposition itself intelligently, taking into account future trends. What, before the summer, was still at the anticipation stage, has now become reality. Having discussed the Middle East issues (without ...

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United Kingdom 2019: What if Brexit proved to be a success story?

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PUBLIC Announcement of our monthly bulletin GEAB (March 2018). Register here ! So far, the media and political analysts have been unanimous: Brexit represents an uncertain and dangerous future only for the UK. Our readers know that we have always been more circumspect about this. Now that the first phase of negotiations has been ...

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[Video] European Trade Agreements – 2019: Death of the Swan

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Interview: Marie-Hélène Caillol, President of LEAP2020 Brexit seemed to have opened up the long-awaited project of redefining the functioning and objectives of the European machine. But today Brussels prefers to boast about the UK’s difficulties, and, thinking of itself as unavoidable, it is undertaking to unearth all its bottom drawer projects. ...

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US Debt / Inflation: The FED as a support tool for Mr Trump’s objectives

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PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (February, 2018). Subscribe here ! At the beginning of February, the US stock markets, followed by the financial markets of the rest of the world, experienced a violent correction. In two days, the Dow Jones Index erased its January gains and entered a downward spiral. Since then, ...

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Anticipation flashback : Warning, profit taking in sight!

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Anticipation flashback ! We were right! The market places are facing several disruptions since the beginning of the week. We announced an anticipation of a possibility of profit-taking  due to the rise of the benchmark stock market index. Today, the Dow Jones is collapsing. The CAC40 dropped bellow the value ...

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A piece of advice to the African Development Bank: Tempering the economic option of the “all-infrastructure”

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Source: www.pouvoirsafrique.com, by Magaye Gaye, Economic Consultant, President of the Senegalese Political Party “La Troisième voie” On the side of the presentation of the report on Africa’s economic perspectives in 2018, the president of the African Development Bank (AfDB) announced that the Bank would organise the “Invest in Africa forum” on November ...

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Petroyuan and Saudi Arabia: From the temptation of the US “Military QE” to the creation of a Middle East 3.0

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PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (November, 2017). Subscribe here ! End 2017/early 2018, all major Western Central Banks will be putting a final stop to the 2008 crisis-related unconventional monetary policies, namely the famous quantitative easing policies (QEs) which enabled to provide liquidity to those banks which saw their mutual confidence for borrowing collapse ...

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Global Systemic Crisis / End of 2017: High turbulence zone! Finance – Freedom – Security – Kaliningrad: Avoid the Third World War now!

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PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (October, 2017). Subscribe here ! More than three years after the Ukraine-related Euro-Russian catastrophe, there is no hope of an end to this crisis. On the contrary, the tension inexorably keeps climbing: Donbass still at war, annexation of Crimea by Russia not recognised by the international community,… ...

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Interview of Marie-Hélène Caillol: Political Anticipation of Global Systemic Crisis (by Hrvoje Moric for Guadalajara Geopolitics Institute)

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Guadalajara Geopolitics Institute: “We are speaking with Marie-Hélène Caillol, the co-founder and president of LEAP the European laboratory of political anticipation which publishes the fantastic newsletter GEAB, Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin. Now, LEAP is a rarety in the world of think-tanks because you are independent and as neutral on objectives ...

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LEAP and our monthly bulletin GEAB in La Vanguardia!

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“The far-right parties won’t reject or give up on Europe, because the EU concentrates the power, they will try to conquer this power [...] A social Europe project could unite the transeuropean Left, but such a project is directly opposed to the current ultraliberal ideology of the institutionnal european system ...

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Global Systemic Crisis 2017-2021 – A phase of chaotic recomposition of the World: national re-landing, crash or rebound?

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PUBLIC REVIEW of our monthly bulletin GEAB (April, 2017). Subscribe here ! This expression “chaotic recomposition” seems best to summarise the phase where we currently are with regards to the development of the crisis, a step indicated here as extending over four years and which will include distinct progression phases. It is quite clear ...

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Trump’s America: the lifting of the US default taboo

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PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB March, 2017. Subscribe here ! Without Kissinger to negotiate the petrodollar and put the US currency back to the centre of the global game after the shock of Nixon’s announcement in 1971 to halt the convertibility of the dollar to gold, the greenback would never have been ...

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2016-2020 – Birth of global governance alongside the emergence of a new currency: new SDR paves the way to Globalisation and impacts the American dollar (Excerpt GEAB September 2016)

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The world has been seeking a substitute for its reliance on the dollar since 2008. The dependency has been so strong, that it has taken almost a decade for a solution to be drafted. Strangely, this solution came from an institution perceived by some as obsolete, until China took the ...

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The military or Erdogan, again (Excerpt GEAB October 2015)

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This article was published by our team in October 2015, in a very specific context: the Russian crisis was not solved yet, Syrian trap, Erdogan having political difficulties etc. We can verify today the precision of this anticipation, and more precisely of the possibility of a “coup d’etat”. The other ...

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Open letter to the G20

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The following is an open letter from Franck Biancheri, Director of studies of LEAP to the G20. Ladies and Gentlemen, Your next summit takes place in a few days in London; but are you aware that you have less than a semester to prevent the world from plunging into a ...

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Demon-etisation: India opens with a fanfare the ball of the fiscal QEs

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PUBLIC COMMUNIQUE of our monthly bulletin GEAB December, 2016. Subscribe here ! Since November 8, 2016, India has created a monetary revolution of a magnitude never seen, both by the size of the population concerned and the depth of the transformation induced. By demonetising the biggest notes of 500 and 1000 Rs (rupees), the ...

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